Texas knows from repeated experience how to recover from a recession. By GDP, its economy is the second largest in the U.S. and the Lone Star State would rank 10th in the world economy if it were a sovereign country. Texas also has a robust job market and since 2007, its economy outperformed most states with employment and population increases 10% higher than the nation as a whole. Using data and statistics from the Q1 2017 reports published by the Texas Workforce Commission, the Texas A&M Real Estate Center, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, we can see how the Texas job market stacks up locally and nationally.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics current survey, the March 2017 unemployment rate for Texas was 5% which was 0.5% higher than the national rate of 4.5%. However, the state’s labor force continues to grow as new residents move to Texas. This means a 5% unemployment rate should not be cause for alarm. The increase in unemployment can also be attributed to the rising labor force participation rate, which rose for the second month to 63.8%. Monthly initial unemployment insurance claims fell 3.9% to their lowest number since 2008.
All of the major Texas metros reported hourly earnings above the state average. Earnings in Austin, Houston and Dallas also exceeded the national average, in some cases by more than 8%. Real manufacturing employee hourly earnings were 10.6% higher in Texas than across the country. Fort Worth had the highest manufacturing wages, paying 55.9% higher than the statewide average. Average hourly earnings of private sector employees showed an increase of 5 cents, which follows a 7-cent gain in February. Hourly earnings are up 2.7% over the year.
Texas has learned the importance of a diverse economy by surviving and rebounding from numerous boom and bust cycles. Recent corporate relocations and expansions represent a cross-section of industries including automotive manufacturing, technology, petrochemicals, distribution centers, financial services, health care and aerospace, to name just a few. Here is a look at two high performing sectors for job growth in Texas:
2017 started strong with Texas adding 53,700 jobs in January. Although job growth in February and March slowed, economists still predict a solid 2017 performance. The Dallas Fed raised its annual growth forecast from 2.3% last month to 2.4%, which is a significant improvement over the 1.7% growth seen in 2016.
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